It's the biggest financial worry for anyone saving for retirement: will I outlive my savings and die broke?
Based on surveys
repeatedly pointing to dismally low levels of retirement savings, most
American households have reason to be concerned. The latest report on
how many Americans die broke comes from an analysis by the Employee Benefits Research Institute based on data from the University of Michigan's Health and Retirement Study.
Of those 85 or older who
died between 2010 and 2012, roughly one in five had no assets other
than a house, according to the analysis. The average home equity was
about $140,000. Roughly one in eight of those households had no assets
at all.
Those who died single at
85 or older fared worse, roughly a quarter had only some equity in a
house — about $83,000 on average. One in six had nothing, and one in 10
died with an average debt of about $6,000.
For those who died at a
younger age, the numbers were even worse. Some 30 percent of households
losing a family member between ages 50 and 64 had no assets left. Those
households also had lower incomes than older retirees.
"A lot of folks really don't have much of a financial cushion by the time they get to the end."
Old and Poor
For
many retirees, the end of life comes with major medical costs that can
wipe out savings. But others have little savings to begin with.
"A lot of folks really
don't have much of a financial cushion by the time they get to the end,"
said MIT economist James Poterba, whose 2012 study found that many Americans die with "virtually no financial assets."
Poterba's study found that 46 percent of American's had less than $10,000 in financial assets in the last year of their life.
"Many more people who
have very low financial assets at the end of life have been bumping
along with low assets through most of their retirement," he said. "They
just hadn't saved very much."
A number of studies have detailed how little retirees have saved.
Last fall, a Harris poll
conducted for Wells Fargo found that a third of respondents between
ages 25 and 75 — with a household median income of $63,000 — weren't
contributing anything a 401(k), an IRA or other retirement savings
account. Half of those over age 50 said they won't even have enough
money to "survive" on in retirement.
And for those nearing retirement, the median savings was just $14,500, according to a study last month by the National Institute of Retirement Security.
"So it's not surprising
that there a lot of people who get to 75 or 85 and have nothing left,"
said Diane Oakley, the institute's executive director. "They didn't have
much to begin with."
Struggling to Save
While
living longer requires a larger nest egg at retirement, the Employee
Benefits Research Institute analysis found that older households fared
better financially at the end of life.
"Households which lost
family members at relatively younger ages were also the households with
lower asset holdings and lower income," said Sudipto Banerjee, author of
the study. "Singles who died relatively early were in much worse
financial condition than couples."
People who died earlier also had significantly lower household income than households with all surviving members.
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Poterba suggested there
may be two reasons people who died older seemed better off financially.
One is that healthier people may be able to earn more in their lifetime
than those with life-long health issues that may shorten their life
span. Conversely, people with greater wealth have better access to
health care that may help them live longer.
Older workers may fare
better because many of them are from a generation that was more likely
to be covered by a defined benefit pension, which helped them pay the
bills without tapping into savings, said Oakley.
That's not going to be
true for coming generations, who are about half as likely to have access
to a defined benefit plan at work, she said.
As more households rely
on building their own nest egg, they'll need to put away more savings.
But it remains to be seen whether younger workers will be able to do so —
especially if interest rates stay low for an extended period, said
Poterba.
"It's very easy for
people not to realize how expensive it is to provide a steady income
stream and how much you need to build up," he said. "As a matter of
arithmetic, if we're in a very long period of lower rates of return,
it's going to be challenging for younger households to build up a nest
egg by the time they reach 65 because they don't get the compounding
that you get at higher rates of return."
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